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2024-12-14 01:26:11

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)The change value of EIA natural gas inventory in the week of December 6 in the United States recorded-190 billion cubic feet, the largest decline since the week of January 26, 2024. Expected-165 billion cubic feet, previous value-30 billion cubic feet.Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory: To further improve the governance structure of the restructured small and medium-sized banks, Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory, told reporters that in the past, the risk disposal and resolution of small and medium-sized financial institutions have been promoted in an orderly manner. The overall idea is to reduce the amount and improve the quality through mergers and acquisitions, that is, to replenish capital during the merger and reorganization process, on the one hand, to effectively deal with the stock risks, on the other hand, to enhance the ability of new institutions to cope with competition and risks through the scale effect formed after the merger. (SSE)


Trump is reported to have talked about dividends and capital gains tax.Dong Ximiao, Principal Investigator of Zhaolian: Support small and medium-sized banks to better establish a long-term mechanism for capital replenishment. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of systemic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, believes that more resolute and effective measures should be taken to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, speed up the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and firmly hold the bottom line of no systemic risks. (SSE)Russian Foreign Minister: It's not the first time that Ukrainian President refused to propose a ceasefire. On December 12, local time, the Russian Foreign Ministry reported that Hungarian Foreign Minister Sergei Jardot had spoken with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and told Ukrainian President Zelensky that he had rejected the Hungarian proposal for a temporary ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners of war in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Lavrov said that this is not the first time that the Ukrainian authorities rejected the relevant suggestions made by other countries after releasing their own signals. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union has come to an end. We have made the latest efforts for peace and proposed a ceasefire on December 25th and a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ".


Netac Technology: A joint working group was established with ZTE to continuously promote the landing of orders. Netac Technology released a record of investor relations activities, and Netac Technology continued to strengthen cooperation with ZTE at the strategic level. The two sides have jointly established a joint working group and continued to promote the landing of orders. The bidding work for some projects has been started. The next step is to focus on obtaining stable and substantial orders and continuously create a computing ecological pattern. In addition, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area storage base covers a wide range, and related work is in the process of promotion. The suspension and restriction of sales of NVIDIA Gaosuanlike has no significant impact on Netac Technology. The company has launched a heterogeneous computing power dispatching platform, and has maintained a good cooperative relationship with domestic computing power card manufacturers. The dispatching platform gives priority to recommending customers to test and adapt domestic computing power cards, and related work is in progress.Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences: The risk of small and medium-sized financial institutions is the focus of risk disposal in the coming period. Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences, told reporters that with the implementation of the policy package to resolve local government debt risks, the local government debt risks have obviously converged recently. In contrast, risks in real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions are still outstanding. In this context, the meeting took the risks of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions as the focus of risk disposal in the coming period, which made clear the focus and pointed out the direction for further financial risk disposal. Especially in the field of real estate, because of its long adjustment cycle and wide coverage, it is still the top priority of risk disposal. (SSE)Korean media disclosed the details of the State Council meeting before and after the emergency martial law. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean Ministry of Administration and Security disclosed the relevant information provided by the Presidential Palace on December 11th about the meeting to declare emergency martial law and lift martial law. According to the data, Premier Han Dezhu said that all State Councillors attending the State Council meeting on the evening of the 3rd of this month expressed their opposition to the martial law proposed by President Yin Xiyue, and believed that martial law would have a serious impact on the Korean economy and credit, and would not be accepted by the people. (CCTV International News)

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